IHS
Mission & Goals: |
Groom
Skills,
Gather Evidence and
Generate Knowledge for people's health.
To Improve the
Efficacy,
Quality & Equity
of Health Systems. |
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Estimating
National Burden of Disease.
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The
Burden of Disease in Andhra Pradesh, 1990s.
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Preface
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In 1991 I went to the Harvard School
of Public Health to pursue my interests in measurement of hospital
performance. Around December, 1991 Dr. Peter Berman, then my research
advisor, introduced me to Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray. Chris was about
to begin work on the Global Burden of Disease Study for the World
Development Report 1993, and I was looking for some work to supplement
my stipend. I started working on methods of checking the consistency
of epidemiological estimates, which contributed to development of the
DISMOD incidence prevalence model. In the process I got more involved
in the Global Burden of Disease methodology. Professor Christopher
Murray's scholarship, tenacity and his attitude of perceiving problems
afresh from the grassroot level impressed me. As a civil servant, I
have always been interested in the effective implementation of state
policy towards improving public health, back home in Andhra Pradesh,
India. No wonder then, that the potential of burden of disease
estimates in aiding the dissemination of public policy attracted me.
After returning to Andhra Pradesh, I started National Burden of
Disease study in 1993 to estimate the burden of disease in Andhra
Pradesh. I soon discovered two important constraints. Firstly, I did
not understand the mathematics, demography and economic theory that
led up to the formulation of the DALY measure and discussions about
its possible usage. Secondly, after collecting available material for
about a year, I found that the database for estimation of disease
burden simply did not exist in Andhra Pradesh. The state did not have
enough information on causes of death that was required in order to
estimate disease burden. Descriptive epidemiological information about
incidence and prevalence of diseases was scarce.
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I had already become considerably
involved in the project to abandon it midway and return to my
position in the Civil Service. Consequently, I set out to improve my
analytical skills, and joined the doctoral program in Harvard School
of Public Health in 1994, with Professor Christopher Murray as the
advisor. In 1997 I returned to Andhra Pradesh and pursued the
collection of data on causes of death, health state valuation etc.
Improvement of vital statistics being an ongoing process I have
updated and expanded the scope of my project with further studies on
the causes of death, general mortality statistics, etc. Here I
present insights about National Burden of Disease studies gained
through the course of the study, as well as a set of disease burden
estimates for Andhra Pradesh. I believe that burden of disease
estimate for countries and states can be useful tools for policy,
only if they are rooted in reliable and accurate vital statistics,
local measurements of epidemiological profile and health state
valuation. This is the fundamental argument of the YJork presented
here. The term National Burden of Disease (NBD) is used here in a
generic sense to mean local burden of disease estimates for national
and sub national entities.
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A large part of the work presented
here is taken straight from my thesis titled "Estimating
national burden of disease: sensitivity to local data".
Chapters four and five of this book deal with descriptive
epidemiology inputs for disease burden estimates. A major handicap
is the general absence of descriptive epidemiological studies in
India. Building up descriptive epidemiology of the many diseases
included in a standard burden of disease cause list, in such an
environment is a long drawn out process. It can happen only if there
is a National movement to build up the required capacity and a
network of scientists, and epidemiologists collaborate by generating
required original data. Quite naturally, this was beyond me to make
much progress. So I could not generate disease specific estimates
any more informative than the India estimates available in the
Global Burden of Disease study by Christopher Murray and Alan Lopez.
Actually, I was involved by assisting Chris Murray in coordination
with various National and International experts who contributed to
those estimates. Since I could not bring in more accurate local
data, I decided to adopt the GBD epidemiological estimates for India
as such. However, by nuw, I had worked on describing the process of
generating epidemiological estimates for disease burden
estimates.These write ups, presented in Chapter Four, were developed
to elaborate on the concept and the steps to disease specific
epidemiologists. Myself and Dr. GNV Ramana, who was my collaborator
in early phases of the, AP Burden of Disease study developed an
estimate of tuberculosis incidence in Andhra Pradesh, using locally
available data. Our objective was to take select one disease for
which the local data base is better and then illustrate how I
descriptive epidemiology estimates can proceed for a NBD study.
Chapter Five is the result of this exercise. In Chapter - 8 I
present yet another cut of the age I weighting and discounting
issue. This chapter is mainly to further simplify discussion about
age weighting and discounting.
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I owe my gratitude to a lot of
people who have helped me in pursuing this project over the last
seven years. First, I am grateful to Professor Christopher i J.L.
Murray who has been a wonderful teacher. He has stimulated,
challeng~d ! and guided the process of my intellectual development
right from the beginning! of our association in 1992. I am grateful
to all members of the Research Advisory Committee, Professors
William C. Hsiao, Michael R. Reich, Allan G. Hill, and j Sudhir
Anand, who have all helped me retain the focus of the project.
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I am grateful to all colleagues,
past and present, at the Harvard Burden of ~ Disease Unit, for
sharing in all the triumphs and tribulations that go hand in ]
hand in a high-performance environment. Catherine Michaud, Kenji
Shibuya, Robert Ashley, and Josh A. Salomon have been especially
helpful in pursuing the intellectual debates about estimation of
burden of disease and its usage. I thank Dr. G.N. V Ramana,
erstwhile colleague at the Administrative Staff College of India
for his assistance in the collection of data and initial analyses
for the AP Burden of Disease Study. I thank my current colleagues
at the Institute of Health Systems, Hyderabad, who have
collaborated on various sections of this work. Dr. P. V. Chalapati
Rao is my collaborator for the cause of death studies. Josh A.
Salomon (BDU and WHO), Mrs. Lipika Nanda and KT Rajashree are my
collaborators for the health state valuation study. I have cited
them as my coauthors where ever appropriate. Drs. Satish Kumar,
Sai Kumar and Pratap Sisodia, currently faculties at the Institute
of Health System have helped in reviewing and editing Chapters
Five, Four and Eight respectively.
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I thank the Govt. of Andhra
Pradesh, Directorate of Health Vital Statistics Division and other
authorities of the Health Department of Govt. of Andhra Pradesh
for their support especially in sharing of cause of death reports.
I thank the residents of Kondakkal village, who were so generous
in giving their time for the health state valuation study. I am
grateful to Professor Shanta Sinha and the M. V. Foundation for
their help in identifying the Kondakkal village, and introducing
me and my colleagues to the local leaders.
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I am grateful to the WHO - TDR
for the financial support that enabled me to pursue the Ph.D.
course at Harvard and do parts of the field work. Additional
funding came again from WHO through the Global Program on Evidence
and Information for Policy, and the World Bank. I am grateful to
Dean T. Jamison for his support and encouragement. I appreciate
the grant of study leave by Govt. of Andhra Pradesh that enabled
me to pursue the Ph.D. course and this work.
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At this point in life I remember
my father Late Shri Sachidananda Mahapatra who shaped my world
view. I remember my mother Smt. Haramani Devi, whose love and care
I always cherish. My wife Lipika Nanda, and daughter Lisa have
been very supportive throughout. Lisa had to change schools many
times to accommodate my interests. Without the support of these
three wonderful women in my life, I would not have been able to
pursue this work for so long.
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Finally, I am grateful to my
brother-in-law Sanjoy Rath and his wife Mamata who, fortunately
for me, happened to live near Boston around the time I was writing
most of this work. They have helped in every possible way to let
me focus on the writing of this thesis. I am grateful to my
friends Peter Berman, Jenny Ruducha, Bikram and Sukanya Ray who
have been very helpful during my stay in Cambridge. I thank Ms
Vijayalakshmi Tadi, Ms Abhirami, for editorial help.
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October, 2001 |
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Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India |
Prasanta Mahapatra |
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